Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002949 0.003087 0.003228 0.003383 0.003547 0.003718 0.003908
2025-04-20 0.002709 0.002916 0.003136 0.003386 0.003665 0.003966 0.004318
2025-04-27 0.002587 0.002840 0.003114 0.003436 0.003805 0.004217 0.004714
2025-05-04 0.002445 0.002724 0.003032 0.003402 0.003836 0.004334 0.004951
2025-05-11 0.002336 0.002634 0.002970 0.003381 0.003874 0.004450 0.005184
2025-05-18 0.002240 0.002553 0.002912 0.003357 0.003901 0.004550 0.005395
2025-05-25 0.002197 0.002531 0.002919 0.003409 0.004017 0.004759 0.005747
2025-06-01 0.002128 0.002473 0.002879 0.003398 0.004054 0.004868 0.005974
2025-06-08 0.002057 0.002409 0.002829 0.003372 0.004068 0.004945 0.006159
2025-06-15 0.001979 0.002334 0.002761 0.003320 0.004045 0.004971 0.006276
2025-06-22 0.001912 0.002269 0.002703 0.003276 0.004029 0.005005 0.006403
2025-06-29 0.001869 0.002233 0.002678 0.003275 0.004067 0.005109 0.006627
2025-07-06 0.001781 0.002138 0.002578 0.003172 0.003969 0.005027 0.006589
2025-07-13 0.001745 0.002108 0.002560 0.003176 0.004012 0.005139 0.006831
2025-07-20 0.001729 0.002103 0.002573 0.003221 0.004112 0.005333 0.007201
2025-07-27 0.001682 0.002057 0.002531 0.003190 0.004106 0.005376 0.007348
2025-08-03 0.001643 0.002019 0.002499 0.003171 0.004115 0.005439 0.007527
2025-08-10 0.001605 0.001982 0.002466 0.003149 0.004118 0.005494 0.007695
2025-08-17 0.001596 0.001982 0.002482 0.003196 0.004221 0.005697 0.008103
2025-08-24 0.001565 0.001953 0.002459 0.003186 0.004241 0.005778 0.008320
2025-08-31 0.001531 0.001919 0.002426 0.003162 0.004238 0.005824 0.008481
2025-09-07 0.001490 0.001873 0.002378 0.003114 0.004199 0.005811 0.008546
2025-09-14 0.001453 0.001833 0.002337 0.003075 0.004171 0.005814 0.008634